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BOYD GAMING CORP (BYD)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Strong Q2: revenue $1.034B (+6.9% y/y; +4.2% q/q) and adjusted EBITDAR $357.9M (+4.0% y/y), with property-level margins again above 40%, driven by core customer strength and improving retail/unrated play .
  • EPS beat and revenue beat vs consensus; SPGI EPS $1.87 vs $1.667 estimate; revenue $1.034B vs $0.981B; EBITDA slightly below SPGI consensus, reflecting definitional differences vs company’s Adjusted EBITDA; net EPS/revenue beats should be viewed as significant *.
  • Strategic catalyst: agreed sale of 5% FanDuel stake for $1.755B cash; proceeds to reduce debt, cut interest expense by ~$85M annually, extend market access to 2038, and increase buybacks to $150M/quarter starting Q3—key stock narrative driver .
  • Capital deployment: Q2 capex $124M (YTD $251M); ongoing property upgrades and development pipeline (Suncoast, Ameristar St. Charles meeting space, Cadence Crossing, Norfolk casino) underpin medium-term growth .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Las Vegas Locals delivered first y/y revenue and EBITDAR growth in >2 years; margins nearly 50%, supported by core and retail customers; locals market share stable-to-slightly up over last three months .
  • Midwest & South posted its highest quarterly revenue and EBITDAR in nearly three years, led by Treasure Chest; unrated play picked up as customers stayed closer to home .
  • Online segment grew on Boyd Interactive and modest market-access fees; Managed & Other up on Sky River management fees; pipeline expansion underway (additional slots, garage, hotel, F&B, spa, events center) .
    • “Property-level margins once again exceeded 40%... strength in play from our core customers, as well as improvements in retail play.” — Keith Smith .

What Went Wrong

  • Downtown Las Vegas faced tough comps vs unusually elevated Hawaiian visitation last year; y/y down though stable on an underlying basis through first six months .
  • Las Vegas destination demand/room rates on the Strip were soft; Orleans impacted by low market room rates—Boyd remains disciplined, avoiding rate wars .
  • Weather/flood closures and Easter timing pressured parts of Midwest & South; despite this, margins remained stable, evidencing cost control .

Financial Results

GAAP and Company Non-GAAP (quarterly)

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Billions)$1.041B $0.992B $1.034B
Net Income ($USD Millions)$170.5M $111.4M $151.5M
Diluted EPS ($USD)$1.92 $1.31 $1.84
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$351.1M $309.4M $329.4M
Adjusted EBITDAR ($USD Millions)$379.3M $337.5M $357.9M

Segment Revenue and Adjusted EBITDAR (Q2 y/y)

SegmentRevenue Q2 2024 ($M)Revenue Q2 2025 ($M)Adjusted EBITDAR Q2 2024 ($M)Adjusted EBITDAR Q2 2025 ($M)
Las Vegas Locals$225.1 $229.1 $109.3 $112.7
Downtown Las Vegas$57.7 $55.3 $22.0 $19.4
Midwest & South$521.8 $540.1 $195.5 $201.4
Online$129.9 $173.1 $17.1 $22.2
Managed & Other$33.1 $36.5 $23.1 $26.0

KPIs and Balance Sheet

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025
Capex ($USD Millions)$127.0 (derived from YTD; see note)$124.0
Share Repurchases ($USD Millions)$328.0 $105.0
Dividend per Share ($USD)$0.18 (paid Apr 15) $0.18 (paid Jul 15)
Cash on Hand ($USD Millions)$311.5 $320.1
Total Debt ($USD Billions)$3.5B $3.6B
Diluted Shares (weighted avg, M)85.136 82.303

Note: Capex YTD was $251M; Q2 capex $124M; implied Q1 = ~$127M .

Consensus vs Actual (SPGI)

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue Consensus ($USD Billions)$1.001B*$0.973B*$0.981B*
Revenue Actual ($USD Billions)$1.041B* $0.992B* $1.034B*
EPS Consensus ($USD)$1.7932*$1.5236*$1.6669*
EPS Actual ($USD)$1.96* $1.62* $1.87*
EBITDA Consensus ($USD Millions)$330.6M*$300.6M*$315.6M*
EBITDA Actual (SPGI) ($USD Millions)$333.3M*$300.4M*$314.2M*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Company-reported Adjusted EBITDA/EBITDAR differ from SPGI EBITDA definitions .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Share RepurchasesOngoing (Q3 onward)$100M/quarter (prior target)$150M/quarter starting Q3Raised
CapexFY 2025$600–$650M$600–$650M (unchanged)Maintained
Online Segment EBITDARFY 2025N/A$50–$55MEstablished (post FanDuel agreements)
Online Segment EBITDARFY 2026N/A~$30MEstablished
Leverage TargetNear-term~2.5x historical run-rateSub-2x after FanDuel, then ~2.5x over timeLower near-term; long-term maintained
Interest Expense SavingsAnnualizedN/A~$85MNew savings expectation
Market Access AgreementsTermThrough ~2026 (prior)Extended through 2038Extended
DividendQuarterly$0.18$0.18 (Oct 15 declared)Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’24 and Q1’25)Current Period (Q2’25)Trend
Las Vegas Locals competitive environmentOngoing pressures at The Orleans/Gold Coast; others outperforming same-store market ; In Q1, Orleans impacted; rest modest growth; margins ~40% First y/y growth in >2 years; margins nearly 50%; market share stable/slightly up Improving locally; discipline on promotions; margin resilience
Retail/Unrated playStable to modest; severe weather impacted MSR in Q1 Clear pickup in unrated play; customers closer to home; sequential improvement Positive inflection in retail/unrated
Online strategyStrong growth with access fees; FanDuel partnership contributions Sell 5% FanDuel stake; extend access to 2038; regional online casino focus; plan to operate retail books outside NV mid-2026 Strategic shift; monetization + long-term access
Macroeconomic/taxEconomic uncertainty noted (Q1); operations steady Tax bill benefits: tips/overtime deductions; seniors deduction; potential uplift in customer base (40% seniors) Supportive tax tailwinds
Tariffs/supply chainNot highlightedComfortable managing tariff risk via procurement strategies; budgets intact Mitigated risk
Capex/projectsTreasure Chest, broad investments $600–$650M FY25; Suncoast renovation; Ameristar St. Charles meeting space; Cadence Crossing; Norfolk casino phases Executing pipeline

Management Commentary

  • Strategic capital: “We plan to increase our target for share repurchases from $100,000,000 per quarter to $150,000,000 per quarter starting with the third quarter.” — Keith Smith .
  • Financial flexibility: “We estimate after tax proceeds of approximately $1,400,000,000... leverage will be reduced by approximately one turn... interest expense savings of approximately $85,000,000.” — Josh Hirsberg .
  • Operations: “Property-level margins once again exceeded 40%... strongest property-level revenue and Adjusted EBITDAR growth in more than three years.” — Keith Smith .
  • Market dynamics: “Promotional environment has been relatively stable... we’re not chasing room rates down.” — Keith Smith .
  • Digital stance: “We will continue to be focused on a regional online casino strategy... integrated with land-based rewards.” — Keith Smith .

Q&A Highlights

  • Capital allocation and leverage: Boyd will run leverage below 2x near-term post-FanDuel, with longer-term around ~2.5x; disciplined approach—no forced M&A to adjust leverage .
  • Retail/unrated sustainability: Unrated play improved in Q2; need another quarter or two to confirm sustainability; sequential trends into early Q3 consistent with Q2 .
  • Promotional environment: Stable across markets; Boyd maintains discipline; avoids room rate wars in Las Vegas .
  • Tax legislation: Benefits expected from bonus depreciation and tips/overtime deductions; seniors deduction meaningful given ~40% of customer base 65+ .
  • Tariffs/capex: Procurement strategies and contingencies mitigate tariff risks; capex budgets intact; stronger balance sheet enhances flexibility .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 vs SPGI consensus: Revenue $1.034B vs $0.981B estimate (beat); EPS $1.87 vs $1.6669 estimate (beat); EBITDA $314.2M vs $315.6M (slight miss). We note company-reported Adjusted EBITDA was $329.4M, reflecting definitional differences versus SPGI EBITDA *.
  • Prior quarters: BYD also beat revenue and EPS in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025; EBITDA modestly above in Q4 and in line in Q1, per SPGI * *.
  • Implications: Consensus likely needs to raise revenue/EPS near-term, while EBITDA models should reconcile to company’s Adjusted EBITDA to avoid misinterpretation. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Strong fundamental execution: broad-based growth, resilient margins (>40% property-level), and improving retail/unrated play underpin near-term support for EPS and FCF .
  • Capital return and deleveraging story: FanDuel monetization is a catalyst—debt reduction, ~$85M annual interest savings, and buybacks lifted to $150M/quarter starting Q3 .
  • Pipeline-driven growth: Multiple property upgrades and greenfield projects (Cadence Crossing, Ameristar St. Charles, Norfolk) should sustain medium-term EBITDAR growth .
  • Las Vegas discipline: Boyd prioritizes margin stability over chasing low room rates; expect locals segment to continue outperforming Strip-exposed properties .
  • Estimate recalibration: Raise revenue/EPS forecasts following beats; adjust EBITDA definitions when benchmarking to company Adjusted EBITDA to avoid false misses *.
  • Macro/tax tailwinds: New tax provisions (tips/overtime/seniors) are positive demand supports for core demographics; monitor realization into H2 .
  • Watch Q3 narrative: Execution on FanDuel close and capital allocation, Suncoast renovation disruptions, and the trajectory of unrated play are key near-term trading inputs .

Sources

  • Q2 2025 press release and exhibits: revenue/EPS/segment/Adjusted EBITDA/EBITDAR; balance sheet; capital returns .
  • Earnings call transcript: strategic, operational, capital allocation, guidance commentary .
  • Other Q2-relevant press releases: FanDuel stake sale . Dividend declaration .
  • Prior quarters: Q1 2025 press release . Q4 2024 press release .

Values retrieved from S&P Global for consensus/actual estimate comparisons.*