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BOYD GAMING CORP (BYD)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Strong Q2: revenue $1.034B (+6.9% y/y; +4.2% q/q) and adjusted EBITDAR $357.9M (+4.0% y/y), with property-level margins again above 40%, driven by core customer strength and improving retail/unrated play .
- EPS beat and revenue beat vs consensus; SPGI EPS $1.87 vs $1.667 estimate; revenue $1.034B vs $0.981B; EBITDA slightly below SPGI consensus, reflecting definitional differences vs company’s Adjusted EBITDA; net EPS/revenue beats should be viewed as significant *.
- Strategic catalyst: agreed sale of 5% FanDuel stake for $1.755B cash; proceeds to reduce debt, cut interest expense by ~$85M annually, extend market access to 2038, and increase buybacks to $150M/quarter starting Q3—key stock narrative driver .
- Capital deployment: Q2 capex $124M (YTD $251M); ongoing property upgrades and development pipeline (Suncoast, Ameristar St. Charles meeting space, Cadence Crossing, Norfolk casino) underpin medium-term growth .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Las Vegas Locals delivered first y/y revenue and EBITDAR growth in >2 years; margins nearly 50%, supported by core and retail customers; locals market share stable-to-slightly up over last three months .
- Midwest & South posted its highest quarterly revenue and EBITDAR in nearly three years, led by Treasure Chest; unrated play picked up as customers stayed closer to home .
- Online segment grew on Boyd Interactive and modest market-access fees; Managed & Other up on Sky River management fees; pipeline expansion underway (additional slots, garage, hotel, F&B, spa, events center) .
- “Property-level margins once again exceeded 40%... strength in play from our core customers, as well as improvements in retail play.” — Keith Smith .
What Went Wrong
- Downtown Las Vegas faced tough comps vs unusually elevated Hawaiian visitation last year; y/y down though stable on an underlying basis through first six months .
- Las Vegas destination demand/room rates on the Strip were soft; Orleans impacted by low market room rates—Boyd remains disciplined, avoiding rate wars .
- Weather/flood closures and Easter timing pressured parts of Midwest & South; despite this, margins remained stable, evidencing cost control .
Financial Results
GAAP and Company Non-GAAP (quarterly)
Segment Revenue and Adjusted EBITDAR (Q2 y/y)
KPIs and Balance Sheet
Note: Capex YTD was $251M; Q2 capex $124M; implied Q1 = ~$127M .
Consensus vs Actual (SPGI)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Company-reported Adjusted EBITDA/EBITDAR differ from SPGI EBITDA definitions .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic capital: “We plan to increase our target for share repurchases from $100,000,000 per quarter to $150,000,000 per quarter starting with the third quarter.” — Keith Smith .
- Financial flexibility: “We estimate after tax proceeds of approximately $1,400,000,000... leverage will be reduced by approximately one turn... interest expense savings of approximately $85,000,000.” — Josh Hirsberg .
- Operations: “Property-level margins once again exceeded 40%... strongest property-level revenue and Adjusted EBITDAR growth in more than three years.” — Keith Smith .
- Market dynamics: “Promotional environment has been relatively stable... we’re not chasing room rates down.” — Keith Smith .
- Digital stance: “We will continue to be focused on a regional online casino strategy... integrated with land-based rewards.” — Keith Smith .
Q&A Highlights
- Capital allocation and leverage: Boyd will run leverage below 2x near-term post-FanDuel, with longer-term around ~2.5x; disciplined approach—no forced M&A to adjust leverage .
- Retail/unrated sustainability: Unrated play improved in Q2; need another quarter or two to confirm sustainability; sequential trends into early Q3 consistent with Q2 .
- Promotional environment: Stable across markets; Boyd maintains discipline; avoids room rate wars in Las Vegas .
- Tax legislation: Benefits expected from bonus depreciation and tips/overtime deductions; seniors deduction meaningful given ~40% of customer base 65+ .
- Tariffs/capex: Procurement strategies and contingencies mitigate tariff risks; capex budgets intact; stronger balance sheet enhances flexibility .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 vs SPGI consensus: Revenue $1.034B vs $0.981B estimate (beat); EPS $1.87 vs $1.6669 estimate (beat); EBITDA $314.2M vs $315.6M (slight miss). We note company-reported Adjusted EBITDA was $329.4M, reflecting definitional differences versus SPGI EBITDA *.
- Prior quarters: BYD also beat revenue and EPS in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025; EBITDA modestly above in Q4 and in line in Q1, per SPGI * *.
- Implications: Consensus likely needs to raise revenue/EPS near-term, while EBITDA models should reconcile to company’s Adjusted EBITDA to avoid misinterpretation. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Strong fundamental execution: broad-based growth, resilient margins (>40% property-level), and improving retail/unrated play underpin near-term support for EPS and FCF .
- Capital return and deleveraging story: FanDuel monetization is a catalyst—debt reduction, ~$85M annual interest savings, and buybacks lifted to $150M/quarter starting Q3 .
- Pipeline-driven growth: Multiple property upgrades and greenfield projects (Cadence Crossing, Ameristar St. Charles, Norfolk) should sustain medium-term EBITDAR growth .
- Las Vegas discipline: Boyd prioritizes margin stability over chasing low room rates; expect locals segment to continue outperforming Strip-exposed properties .
- Estimate recalibration: Raise revenue/EPS forecasts following beats; adjust EBITDA definitions when benchmarking to company Adjusted EBITDA to avoid false misses *.
- Macro/tax tailwinds: New tax provisions (tips/overtime/seniors) are positive demand supports for core demographics; monitor realization into H2 .
- Watch Q3 narrative: Execution on FanDuel close and capital allocation, Suncoast renovation disruptions, and the trajectory of unrated play are key near-term trading inputs .
Sources
- Q2 2025 press release and exhibits: revenue/EPS/segment/Adjusted EBITDA/EBITDAR; balance sheet; capital returns .
- Earnings call transcript: strategic, operational, capital allocation, guidance commentary .
- Other Q2-relevant press releases: FanDuel stake sale . Dividend declaration .
- Prior quarters: Q1 2025 press release . Q4 2024 press release .
Values retrieved from S&P Global for consensus/actual estimate comparisons.*